Dear CFO by Phoenix Strategy Group

Growth & SaaS

Customer lifetime value (LTV)

Customer lifetime value is the gross profit a business expects to earn from an average customer over the whole time they stay.

Formula

LTV = (Average monthly revenue per customer × Gross margin) ÷ Monthly customer churn rate

Worked example

Average revenue per customer$500 a month
Gross margin80%
Monthly customer churn2%

($500 × 80%) ÷ 2% = $400 ÷ 0.02 = $20,000

Why it matters

LTV sets the upper limit on what you can spend to win a customer. Paired with CAC, it tells you whether each new customer adds value or costs more than they will ever return.

Common mistakes

Where it misleads

Using revenue instead of gross profit, which overstates what a customer is worth.

Trusting a very low churn rate: 1% monthly churn implies customers stay about 100 months on average, longer than most companies have existed.

Using churn from a young or unusually loyal group of customers as if it applied to everyone.

Stop calculating it by hand.

Dear CFO keeps your statements, forecasts and metrics current from the systems you already run.