Dear CFO by Phoenix Strategy Group

Growth & SaaS

Customer churn rate

Customer churn rate is the share of customers at the start of a period who cancel or stop paying during it.

Formula

Churn rate = Customers lost in the period ÷ Customers at the start of the period

Worked example

Customers at the start of the month400
Customers who cancelled during the month12
New customers won during the month30 (not counted)

12 ÷ 400 = 3.0% monthly customer churn

Why it matters

Churn sets a ceiling on growth: every customer lost has to be replaced before the business grows at all. It also drives lifetime value, so small changes in churn move what you can afford to spend on acquisition.

Common mistakes

Where it misleads

Adding new customers to the denominator, which makes churn look lower in a month with strong sales.

Multiplying monthly churn by 12: 3% a month compounds to about 31% a year, not 36%.

Reporting only customer churn when revenue churn differs, for example when the customers leaving are the largest.

Stop calculating it by hand.

Dear CFO keeps your statements, forecasts and metrics current from the systems you already run.