Dear CFO by Phoenix Strategy Group

Dear CFO Portfolio Protector

Know sooner. Act faster. Protect returns.

The financial early-warning system for private equity. Every portfolio company in one place, the problems found early, and the forecast always current.

  • Financials
  • Forecasts
  • Unit economics
  • Benchmarking
  • Board reporting
  • AI analysis
Portfolio Health
CompanyCash, mo.MarginYoY
Harborview Freight11.419.1%+21.0%
Ironwood Logistics14.822.7%+28.3%
Foxglove Creamery3.14.2%−2.8%
Larkspur Robotics5.48.1%+3.1%

The problem

The surprise didn’t happen yesterday. You just found out yesterday.

  1. Month 1

    Gross margin begins slipping

    −0.8 pts

    You knew

    Nothing yet

    With Dear CFO

    Variance raised, accounts attached
  2. Month 2

    Revenue misses plan

    −6.2%

    You knew

    Nothing yet

    With Dear CFO

    Reforecast shows where the quarter lands
  3. Month 3

    Cash burn accelerates

    −$240K

    You knew

    Nothing yet

    With Dear CFO

    Intervention already under way
  4. Board meeting

    LPs learn about it

    All of it

    You knew

    You find out

    With Dear CFO

    The board hears the plan, not the surprise

Three months you could have used

Dear CFO moves that conversation to Month 1.

Early warning

Monitoring tells you what happened. This keeps going.

1

What happened

The variance is raised the day the books show it.

Company board

Cash on hand

$1.28M

Gross margin

61.4%

Days sales outstanding

38days

Net operating income

$443K

2

Why

The accounts and drivers behind it arrive attached.

Revenue drivers

−$84K

Q3 revenue against plan

  • Plan revenue$1.42M
  • Wholesale accounts lost−$46K
  • Volume per account−$38K
  • Mix toward lower-margin SKUs−$21K
  • Actual revenue$1.34M
3

What happens next

The reforecast shows where the quarter lands.

Integrated Financial Model
2.0M2.4M2.8MAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecForecastBaselineBull caseHiring freezeBridge round slips
4

Where to intervene

You get to the company while it is still cheap to fix.

Raised automatically
Raised automatically2:10 PM

Gross margin is running under plan.

61.4%

−0.8 ptsagainst a plan of 62.2%

What moved

  • Direct labour+$18K vs. plan
  • Materials+$7K vs. plan

Portfolio command center

Every company, one standardized view.

Benchmark

Know what good looks like.

Every company measured the same way; the laggard shows up on its own.

Benchmarks

55.5%

Portfolio median gross margin

  • Cedar Ridge Dental66.8%
  • Harborview Freight61.4%
  • Ironwood Logistics58.2%
  • Larkspur Robotics52.7%
  • Northwind Provisions44.1%
  • Foxglove Creamery31.5%

AI analyst

Ask the portfolio a question.

Across every company at once, with every step on screen.

AI Analyst

Which companies are going to miss Q4 plan, and why?

4 steps · 14.8s

Two are tracking under plan: Foxglove −9.8% and Larkspur −4.1%.

Q4 revenue forecast vs. plan

Board reporting

Stop paying teams to assemble slides.

The pack is built from the same live numbers: statements, forecast against plan, and the lines that moved.

Reporting Tool
Sep-26BudgetActualVar
Total Income2,3022,318+0.7%
New customers2219−13.6%
Job margin38.0%34.1%−10.3%
Net Operating Income461443−3.9%

Finance team

Software, plus actual CFO and accounting expertise.

Software finds the problem.

  • Variances raised with the accounts attached
  • Every company reforecast as each month closes
  • One standard view across the whole portfolio

Financial experts help fix it.

  • CFOs and accountants who step in when needed
  • Clean-up, close and forecasting done for you
  • Oversight backed by an actual finance team

Exit readiness

Cleaner data from acquisition through exit.

At acquisition

Statements and KPIs standardized from the first close, instead of rebuilt in year three.

Through the hold

Every month on the same definitions, so the history a buyer reads is one continuous series.

At exit

A diligence-ready model with the actuals already in it, not a data room assembled in a panic.

Watch

Two minutes, end to end.

A still from the Dear CFO product walkthrough

See Portfolio Protector against your portfolio.

Tell us a little about the fund and we will get back to you to arrange a time.